Murphy Releases AG Poll

from the inbox:

Iraq war veteran and former prosecutor Patrick Murphy holds a commanding lead over his two Democratic primary opponents. In a poll conducted this week byGlobal Strategy Group, Murphy leads his closest challenger Kathleen Kane, 36% to 15%. Dan McCaffery finishes a distant third with 8%.

 

 

The regional breakdown is even more telling. Murphy dominates the Philadelphia region, one of the most expensive media markets in the country. In the vote-rich Philadelphia suburbs, Murphy earns a staggering 61% of the vote, with his opponents trailing dramatically (Kane at 8% and McCaffery at 5%). In Philadelphia, McCaffery’s home region, Murphy leads McCaffery by 32 points – 37% to 5%. Kane trails Murphy by 27 points in Philadelphia.

 

These numbers reinforce the incredible momentum Patrick’s campaign has gained. Patrick has earned the support of 55 elected officials from across Pennsylvania, 21 labor unions that represent over 300,000 working families, and 31 Democratic Party leaders from across the Commonwealth. Here’s what a few of them are saying about Patrick:

 

“Patrick Murphy has prosecuted terrorists and served our country in combat. As Attorney General, I know that Patrick will stop at nothing to protect the people of this Commonwealth, and that’s why he has my support. Republicans in Harrisburg are pushing an extreme agenda that is hurting Pennsylvanians. Patrick is the only one in this race who has fought the GOP and won,” said Governor Ed Rendell.

 

"One thing I have learned about Patrick over the last few years, is that he is a tireless worker. He comes from a working-class background. He's one of us in WesternPennsylvania, with good blue-collar roots, who has served our country with distinction. He is truly a hero to go out and keep the rest of us free. We have a man here who has integrity...and we respect that here in Western Pennsylvania," said Allegheny County Executive Rich Fitzgerald.

 

“Tough and smart, Patrick Murphy has the experience and passion to protect the people of Pennsylvania. As Attorney General, Patrick will be the champion that local law enforcement needs to put dangerous criminals behind bars and keep our streets safe. Patrick put his life on the line to defend our nation. He will bring that commitment to this job, and Pennsylvania will be safer for it,” said Philadelphia District Attorney Seth Williams.

 

“I’m absolutely overwhelmed by the support our campaign has received. Folks across Pennsylvania understand why this race is so important. Too many people have lost their jobs, their pensions or their homes because of reckless decisions made on Wall Street and they want an Attorney General who will do something about it,” Murphy said. “As Attorney General I will stop at nothing to protect Pennsylvania families, something I have dedicated my entire life to doing. I will fight crime wherever it exists – on the street, in the corporate boardroom or in Harrisburg.”

 

Global Strategy Group is a public affairs and polling firm with a hard-earned reputation for accuracy and winning campaigns from coast-to-coast, including those of U.S.Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia, U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of NewYork, Governor Brian Schweitzer of Montana, Governor Dan Malloy of Connecticut and Governor Earl Ray Tomblin of West Virginia. 

 

In addition to Patrick Murphy, GSG’s extensive client list in Pennsylvania includes former Senator Arlen Specter, Congressman Mark Critz, Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz, Montgomery County Commissioners Josh Shapiro and Leslie Richards, Allegheny County Executive Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Controller Chelsa Wagner, the Pennsylvania House Democratic Campaign Committee, and the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.

McCarter in 154th

from the inbox:

Steve McCarter announced today that he will be a candidate for State Representative in the 154^th Legislative District this year.

The decision to run was made shortly after the recent announcement by current State Rep. Lawrence Curry (D-Montgomery) on his intentions to retire at the end of his current term.

 

“I have seen firsthand Rep. Curry’s commitment, drive and passion for public service and toward helping those less fortunate,” McCarter said.  “Rep. Curry has been a truly incredible public servant and I know that our community thanks him for the nearly 20 years as our representative in Harrisburg. The state legislature could use a lot more selfless public servants like Larry Curry.”

 

McCarter hopes to continue Rep. Curry’s efforts to fight for the middle class.

 

McCarter is running to add a strong voice to the State House to improve our public schools, promote labor issues, create good paying jobs, protect our environment, improve our quality of life, and strengthen campaign finance reforms.

 

“I’m running to be a voice for the middle class and common sense,” McCarter said. “While families and seniors are struggling in this economy, their concerns need to be heard loud and clear on the floor of the State House from someone who understands their pain.”

 

“I also look forward to working on issues related to education. As a retired educator, I have personally witnessed how decisions made by lawmakers in Harrisburg affect the average classroom and our children. I look forward to developing a plan that continues to improve the quality of education in our commonwealth, while at the same time protecting our vulnerable seniors from increasing tax burdens,” McCarter said. 

 

McCarter is a retired educator and a retired Captain in the US Army Reserve. He taught High School Social Studies and Community Service for 34 years in Abington and Lower Merion Schools. He and his wife Deb are 25-year residents of Cheltenham and Jenkintown. Steve has extensive community service experience in Cheltenham Township, including Cheltenham's Sustainability Committee, Cheltenham School District Local Tax Study Commission, Cheltenham Library Citizens Committee, and the Cheltenham Historical Commission.

Kathryn Boockvar in 8th Congressional District

Kathryn Boockvar, candidate for Commonwealth Court last year, has announced that she will run for Congress in the 8th district (Bucks and part of Montgomery Counties).  She will face incumbent Republican Mike Fitzpatrick.  Here are two excerpts from her campaign announcement:

I am running for Congress with the same motivation as has always driven me: public service. I mean that literally-- serving the people.  I am running for Congress because so many people are having trouble supporting their families, covering their college tuition, and paying for their prescriptions, while our current Congress does nothing.  Even worse, Tea Party politicians are mired in hostility, focused only on party politics and obstruction, refusing to compromise for the good of the people.

later

As you know, I have spent my career working to help all Pennsylvanians protect their jobs, their Social Security, and their families.  I promise you-with your help, I will take these skills, and my background working to mediate differences, to move things forward in Washington.  It is time to roll up our sleeves and work together- across the aisle and in our neighborhoods- to produce solutions to help people get back on their feet, and the economy moving forward.

A previous blog post on Kathryn Boockvar:

Interview on PCN

Two from Philly Are Champions of Change

(compiled from two press releases)

Thursday, January 12th, eight local leaders who are following in the legacy of Martin Luther King, Jr. will be honored at the White House as Champions of Change. These men and women, who include business and non-profit leaders and community volunteers, have each taken great strides to improve the lives of others through volunteerism and in providing economic opportunity to others in their community.

Todd Bernstein is the president of Global Citizen and the founder and director of the Greater Philadelphia Martin Luther King Day of Service, the largest King Day event in the nation. In 1996, Bernstein launched America’s first King Day of Service in Philadelphia. For the last seventeen years, the Greater Philadelphia King Day of Service has drawn some 760,000 volunteers. This year, on January 16, more than 85,000 volunteers will serve in some 1,300 projects in the 17th annual Greater Philadelphia King Day of Service. What started in Philadelphia has become a national movement, with projects taking root in hundreds of cities, large and small, across the nation. Bernstein also founded MLK365, which transforms the King Day of Service into a year-round civic engagement initiative. This program promotes and supports sustainable civic engagement by providing ongoing volunteer opportunities, educational programs, and community partnerships across the Greater Philadelphia region.

  Rachel Turner is the Outreach & Programs Manager at Global Citizen, the Philadelphia-based nonprofit organization that coordinates the Greater Philadelphia Martin Luther King Day of Service, the country’s largest King Day of Service event. She manages the outreach and registration process for the thousands of volunteers and hundreds of organizations that participate throughout Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware. Beyond the Day of Service, she creates and manages sustainable, year-round volunteer and service learning programs for MLK365 and corporate volunteer groups. She serves as the President of the Philadelphia AmeriCorps Alums Chapter and is a member of Women’s Way’s Young Women’s Initiative. She is an alumna of Temple University’s College of the Liberal Arts and began her career in public service through the AmeriCorps program, serving one term as an AmeriCorps National member at YouthBuild Philadelphia Charter School and another as an AmeriCorps VISTA member at the organization where she currently resides.

Schwartz Endorses DePasquale

from the inbox:

Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz has endorsed State Rep. Eugene DePasquale (D, York) for Auditor General.

 

“Eugene is a proven reformer who will make a real impact as Auditor General,” said Congresswoman Schwartz, for whom Eugene previously worked as legislative aide. “His dedication to identifying waste and making tax dollars more effective is what we need during these challenging budgetary times.”

“I am truly honored to have the support of Congresswoman Schwartz,” said DePasquale. “Beginning with my days as her legislative aide, I have enormous respect for her work on behalf of Pennsylvanians.”

DePasquale has received endorsements from hundreds of Democratic and progressive leaders in all corners of the state, including elected leaders, labor leaders, state committee members, party chairs, and local activists; a full list can be found on the campaign website at: http://eugene4pa.com/depasquale-racks-up-endorsements-across-the-state/

AG Endorsements

from the inbox:

TODAY, Allegheny County’s top political and labor leaders endorsed former prosecutor and Iraq war veteran Patrick Murphy for Pennsylvania Attorney General. Allegheny County Executive Rich Fitzgerald, veteran U.S. Rep. Mike Doyle, President and Business Manager for Laborers’ District Council of Western Pennsylvania Philip Ameris, State Senator Wayne Fontana, State Rep. Dan Frankel, State Rep. Dan Deasy, State Rep. Matt Smith, Allegheny County Controller Chelsa Wagner, Pittsburgh City Controller Mike Lamb, Pittsburgh Councilmen Bill Peduto and Pittsburgh Councilman Corey O'Connor highlighted Murphy's experience as a combat veteran and prosecutor in explaining why they believe he gives Democrats the best chance to win in Western Pennsylvania and across the Commonwealth.

and from another candidate:

The law enforcement endorsements for Pennsylvania Attorney General Candidate Dan McCaffery continue to accumulate. Today, McCaffery received the enthusiastic endorsements of Allegheny County Sheriff William P. Mullen, Washington County Sheriff Samuel Romano and former Erie County Sheriff Bob Murski.

Medical Schools Initiatives in Military Medicine

from the inbox:

Today, as part of First Lady Michelle Obama and Dr. Jill Biden’s Joining Forces initiative, the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) and the American Association of Colleges of Osteopathic Medicine (AACOM) committed to creating a new generation of doctors, medical schools, and research facilities that will make sure our heroes and their families receive the care worthy of their sacrifice.  Recognizing veterans, service members and their families’ dedication and commitment, 130 schools associated with the AAMC and AACOM pledged to leverage their missions in education, research, and clinical care to train the nation’s physicians to meet the unique health care needs of the military and veterans communities. 

The Pennsylvania institutions mentioned in the press release:

·         Commonwealth Medical College

·         Drexel University College of Medicine

·         Jefferson Medical College of Thomas Jefferson University

·         Lake Erie College of Osteopathic Medicine

·         Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania

·         Penn State University College of Medicine

·         Philadelphia College of Osteopathic Medicine

·         Temple University School of Medicine

·         University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine

Transit Money to PA

from the inbox:

U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood today announced nearly $1.6 billion to states and territories across the nation to help cover the costs of repairing roads and bridges damaged by a variety of natural disasters.

“Communities from coast to coast are still recovering from disasters that have affected the roads they use, their homes and businesses,” said Secretary LaHood. “The Obama Administration stands ready to provide emergency relief and reimburse these communities for the work that has been done to restore their critical transportation needs.”

Funding for Pennsylvania:

Damage caused by Hurricane Irene (Aug 26, 2011): $704,261
Damage caused by Tropical Storm Lee (Sept. 7, 2011): $39,903,558

Bass to Hold "Coffee with the Councilwoman" Sessions

Cindy Bass, newly elected Philadelphia City Council representative for the 8th district, will hold a series of "Coffee with the Councilwoman" sessions to talk with constituents and hear from them directly. 

Bonner to Challenge Micozzie

from the inbox, Sheamus Bonner will challenge State Rep. Nick Micozzie for the 163rd district in Delaware County:

Sheamus Bonner, a 19-year veteran of the United States Army, wants to represent the people of the PA 163rd in the Pennsylvania state legislature. Bonner, who has been an outspoken critic of the Republicans’ attempt to gerrymander the district to protect a 32-year incumbent, wants to see accountability brought back into elected office.

"This is about me wanting to continue to serve,” said Bonner. "The fact that my opponent is a 32-year incumbent does not concern me. You will find that his time in office and his record will hurt him more than it helps."

Bonner’s plan for his campaign is to assure the voters that when they elect him they will be electing a person who is just like them, someone who is in touch with their issues, the issues that affect their everyday lives. His years spent serving in the Army have prepared Bonner to understand and address the needs of those he is ultimately responsible to, the voters, by putting their interests above his own.

“In the Army, my responsibility was to accomplish my mission and take care of my soldiers,” Bonner said. “Voters across this state, especially the residents of the 163rd, need a representative who looks after them, not special interests with deep pockets.”

After making his decision to run, Bonner has prepared himself as he would for any other mission. He has sought out the input of the voters to understand what is important to them, what they feel is working and not working and what they might like to see change in Harrisburg. In addition, he has already put together a strong campaign team.

"We feel we are way ahead of everyone else who is interested in running, including our opponent," said Campaign Manager John Fennell. "We already have the support of key people and groups here in Delaware County. We have a strong team of dedicated supporters and an experienced campaign staff."

Bonner is a 19-year Army veteran and small business owner, who graduated Cum Laude from Strayer University with a degree in Business. He recently resigned as a state Corrections Officer to run for elected office and currently resides in Drexel Hill with his wife, Whitney, and two children.

Mark Your Calendar II: Ready to Run

On Saturday, February 4th, the Chatham University Center for Women and Politics is hosting a Ready to Run workshop at Drexel University in Philadelphia.  This is great training for people, especially women, who are thinking of running for office. This is a nonpartisan event; all parties are welcome.  There are two tracks, one for people who are thinking of running now, and another for people who may want to run at some point in the future.  The full day workshop, 8 a.m. to 5 p.m., is only $100. 

Chris Jahnke will talk about communications and Nancy Bocskor will discuss fundraising.  Bocskor spoke at the Art of Political Campaigning and I can speak to her ability to present an excellent workshop.  This is a great deal.  Anyone thinking of running should definitely consider attending this event.

Mark Your Calendar I: PA Progressive Summit

Don't forget that the Pennsylvania Progressive Summit, Feb. 10-12 is being held in Philadelphia.  Registration for the three day event, including some great debates, is only $100.  One of the debates is among all three candidates for Attorney General, Patrick Murphy, Kathleen Kane, and Dan McCaffery.  The state Democratic committee is meeting before then and may be making an endorsement but I've heard that there could be an open primary, which would make this debate one of the opening salvos of a competitive primary.  I'm hoping to get to at least a few of the events.  The full list of workshops is not available but going by last year's schedule there will be something for everyone.

Reassuring Voice in the Gallery

A passing note from the world of transit. 

There is a guy who sells the Daily News in the Market East transit station -- he stands near the Market Frankford station and the PATCO station.  He has a fabulous voice.  It's one of those "don't be alarmed, everything's fine" voices that would make a disaster sound like an inconvenience.  I was going downtown last week and heard his "Daiiillyyyyy News, Daiiillyyyyy News" lowing in the background.  I didn't see him and so can't say what he looks like, but his voice is amazing.  Anyone looking for record an emergency message or phone tree script, should take a stroll over to the train station and listen to this man talk.   

Bristol Riverside Theater in WSJ

The greater Philadelphia region's vibrant theater community, or at least a particular part of it, got a nice mention in this weekend's Wall Street Journal.  A review of the Bristol Riverside Theater's production of "Gypsy," "If Mama was Human," by Terry Teachout, encourages readers to visit the Bucks county venue.  Tovah Feldshuh's Mama Rose is singled out as a wonderful performance.  If you want to see it, hurry.  The production ends January 15th.  Looking ahead "Steel Magnolias" and "Rent" are scheduled for this spring and summer.

A Note on John Nagle

John Nagle, recently re-elected to represent Radnor's 5th district (Delaware Co), wrote an interesting post on Facebook.  During the campaign, like many candidates, he left campaign literature on doors, in plastic bags hung on doorknobs.  The bags are sold in bulk and after the election he still had hundreds left over.  He donated them to the Francisvale Home for Smaller Animals to be used to doggie doo pick up.  Kudos to Nagle for an innovative recycling effort. 

Keeping Our Promises

Trudy Rubin wrote an especially poignant and hard hitting column in Thursday's Inquirer, "Our continuing shame:  Iraqi allies betrayed."  Here is an excerpt:

Official figures show that 39,000 Iraqis (including family members) are in the pipeline in the Direct Access program for Iraqis who worked with us. Only 153 of these visas were issued in December. There are about 15,000 (not including family) in the pipeline for the Special Immigrant Visa program. Only 50 SIVs were issued last month.

The supposed reason for the freeze is new security regulations imposed after two Iraqi refugees in Kentucky were accused of having terrorist connections. But these bad apples never worked for Americans. Those who did went through numerous security checks before getting their jobs.

This is just so basic.  We made promises to people in return for their help and now we are reneging.  To their credit, two of the local politicos that I have followed, Bryan Lentz and Patrick Murphy, both Iraq War veterans, worked hard to ensure that Iraqi citizens who had helped them were able to come to the US.  

It's not only the moral obligation to keep our agreement, it is the ability to ask others to help us in the future, in the next conflict. 

AG III: Patrick Murphy Updates

The third Democratic candidate for Attorney General is also making news today.  Patrick J. Murphy, former 8th district (Bucks Co) congressman, and Iraq War veteran, has been endorsed by Rep. Allyson Schwartz.  He also exceeded his most recent fundraising goal.

The Schwartz endorsement:

Today, U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz (PA-13), endorsed Iraq war veteran and former prosecutor Patrick Murphy for Pennsylvania Attorney General. Schwartz, a prominent national voice on health care policy and women’s rights, and the highest-ranking woman elected official in Pennsylvania, praised Murphy for his tireless work on these issues.

“Patrick Murphy is a proven leader. He has fought to ensure women get equal pay at work. He has been a champion for children who need access to a doctor. He has cracked down on shady financial institutions that rob our seniors. Patrick will always stand up for working families and the values we all hold dear. His record makes that very clear. That’s what Pennsylvania needs in its next Attorney General,” Schwartz said.

“As a combat veteran, he showed his commitment to public service by putting his life on the line for our country. He’s demonstrated his ability as a prosecutor overseas and here at home. He has the experience and tenacity necessary to protect Pennsylvania families,” Schwartz added. “I’ve worked with Patrick, and together we’ve fought for our constituents and for all Pennsylvanians. I can tell you that Patrick has the character and integrity that we should expect from our law enforcement officials. That’s why I’m proud to support him for Attorney General.”

“Congresswoman Schwartz has helped shape the national debate on the most pressing issues facing our country. She has dedicated her career to ensuring that every man, woman and child in Pennsylvania has access to quality, affordable healthcare,” Murphy said. “Congresswoman Schwartz is a tireless advocate for fiscal responsibility and has fought to demand effectiveness in government. It’s been an honor to stand with her during these battles, and I’m equally honored to earn her endorsement for Attorney General.”

AG II: Kane's Got the Sugar

from the inbox:

Kathleen Kane, democratic candidate for Pennsylvania Attorney General, today announced her campaign will report over $2 million cash on hand as of the close of the December 31st filing period. Kane, a former Lackawanna county prosecutor with over 12 years experience in prosecuting murder, sexual abuse, official corruption, fraud and other criminal cases, brings the depth of experience that is needed to serve as Attorney General, Pennsylvania's chief law enforcement officer. Kathleen Kane is a career prosecutor, not a politician.
In announcing that her campaign is positioned with over $2 million cash on hand, Kane emerges not only as a clear contender to secure the democratic nomination, but also is the statewide Democrat with the profile who can best win in November and be Pennsylvania’s first democrat elected to the office of Attorney General. 

"It's great news for the Democratic Party when the most qualified candidate running -- the person with the most experience as a prosecutor -- is also the person who has put together the strongest campaign and can do the most to create a balanced Democratic ticket with President Obama and Senator Casey. Kathleen Kane has the experience, toughness, and independence to become the first woman elected Attorney General in Pennsylvania history." said spokesperson Daniel F. McElhatton.

 

As a follow-up the highly regarded state political blog Capitol Ideas references information from politicspa that Kane may be self-funding.  PoliticsPA mentioned it on twitter so it is not on their site. CI states:

Our friends at PoliticsPA hint the latter could be the case. They report that Kane has touted her ability to fund her own campaign. Her family owns a trucking and logistics business that looks all kinds of fancy.

PoliticsPA's tweet: 

PoliticsPA Sy Snyder

.@Capitol_Ideas Kane's selling point has been the self-funder angle. Her family owns the Kane trucking business. bit.ly/9TTiYa

AG I: McCaffery Declares

from the inbox:

Pennsylvania Attorney General Candidate Dan McCaffery held a press conference today to formally announce his candidacy for Pennsylvania Attorney General.  McCaffery was joined by many prominent government, business, labor, religious and civic leaders, including U.S. Congressman Bob Brady; IBEW Business Manager John J. Dougherty; attorney Tom Kline of the law firm of Kline & Specter; Colonel Harris Brooks (U.S. Air Force, Ret.); Reverend Terrence Griffith, President of the Black Clergy of Philadelphia and Vicinity; Bucks County Commissioner Diane Marseglia; Fraternal Order of Police Lodge # 5 President John McNesby; Fire Fighters Local Union 22 President Bill Gault; City Controller Alan Butkovitz; former City Controller Jonathan Saidel; Councilman Bobby Henon; Montgomery County Commissioner Leslie Richards; Joint Board of Workers United Manager Lynne Fox; President-Elect of the Philadelphia Trial Lawyers Association Tom Duffy; Register of Wills Ron Donatucci; State Senator Larry Farnese; State Senator Christine Tartaglione; State Representative John Sabatina;  State Representative Matthew Bradford; and State Representative Kevin Boyle, among others.

“My decision to seek the Office of Attorney General is not based on who or what, it has everything to do with why.  I can tell you first-hand that people are suffering in Pennsylvania.  People can’t find jobs, are underwater on their mortgage loans, or have lost their pensions and retirement savings due to the economy.  People are asking why? Why are our elected officials spending all of their time fighting with one another, instead of passing meaningful legislation to protect the citizens of our Commonwealth? This is why I am running for Attorney General,” said McCaffery.

“Labor is proud to support Dan McCaffery for Pennsylvania Attorney General.  The son of a union family, Dan has always been a friend of labor because he understands the issues that are important to us.   As Pennsylvania’s next Attorney General, I know Dan will continue to protect and support our cause in Harrisburg,” said IBEW Local 98 Business Manager John J. Dougherty.

“As a leading pastor in this city, people always tell me, 'We need someone who can advocate for us, someone who understands us.'  It’s no secret that the common man is suffering in Philadelphia, as they are in Allentown, Scranton, Erie, Reading, and Pittsburgh.  Dan McCaffery understands this, can relate to this, and has the knowledge and experience necessary to protect and advocate for us in Harrisburg.  I am truly honored to support Dan McCaffery for Pennsylvania Attorney General," said Pastor Terrence Griffith.

“It is my distinct honor to support Dan McCaffery for Pennsylvania Attorney General," added Colonel Harris Brooks, a long-time friend of McCaffery. "With just under one-million military veterans currently residing in Pennsylvania, we need an Attorney General who understands the specific needs of these brave men and woman.  As a former Cavalry Scout in the United States Army, Dan can effectively relate and advocate for Pennsylvania’s military community in Harrisburg.”

“Of all the candidates running for Pennsylvania Attorney General, only Dan McCaffery has the real-world legal experience, knowledge, and vision necessary to win.  As a leading advocate for the Pennsylvania False Claims Act and Antitrust Statute, Dan has an actual plan to protect small business from unfair competition, while at the same time increasing state revenue and saving Pennsylvania tax payers hundreds of thousands of dollar each year.  I am proud to support Dan McCaffery for Pennsylvania Attorney General because we need an Attorney General who has real legal experience and a proven track-record of protecting the citizens of Pennsylvania,” said attorney Tom Kline.

Added U.S. Congressman Bob Brady, “If our party hopes to elect the first ever Democrat to the office of Pennsylvania Attorney General, we must nominate a candidate with the experience and statewide appeal necessary to win.  As a former Assistant District Attorney, soldier in the United States Army, and life-long trial lawyer, Dan McCaffery offers our Party the best chance of taking this office in November.”

“I know firsthand that Dan McCaffery is the most qualified candidate to take on and beat the Republican Party this November.  With over twenty-years of real courtroom experience, Dan McCaffery brings real-world experience to this office, experience that is necessary for any Attorney General to succeed,” added Bucks County Commissioner Diane Marseglia.

Cafe Press Election Prediction

from the inbox:

With last night’s Iowa caucuses, Mitt Romney has solidified his position as the most likely Republican candidate to oppose Barack Obama for the presidency. However, can Romney actually beat Obama come the election this November?

According to the CafePress Election Meter, it doesn’t seem very likely.

As you may know, CafePress is an e-commerce platform that powers user-designed merchandise. With an average of over 137,000 new designs uploaded every week, it’s no surprise many of them are political in nature. As a result, CafePress is often seen as a cultural barometer, making their political product sales relevant and interesting. The CafePress Election Meter tracks merchandise sales trends for each presidential candidate and, through such trends, successfully predicted Barack Obama’s victory over John McCain in 2008.

With this in mind, if we pit 2011 sales data for Romney-tagged items against Obama-tagged items, we see that Obama-tagged items lead the Election Meter with 68% of candidate sales to 32% for Romney. Obama is simply seeing more support, as the GOP doesn’t appear too excited about the former MA Governor.

Romney, however, isn’t the only Republican hopeful falling victim to Obama. All of the other nominees’ sales pale in comparison except for one—Ron Paul.

In 2011, Paul-tagged items led Obama in political sales, 75% to 25%. While Paul found himself in 3^rd place last night, according to the CafePress Election Meter, he’s the only Republican with enough support to ultimately beat Obama.

Meanwhile, sales of Michelle Bachmann-tagged items have plummeted over recent months, falling from 7% of all candidate sales in July to just 2% in December, which captures just how much her support has faded and explains her poor showing in Iowa (and her subsequent decision today to bow out of the race).

Republicans in Iowa might have spoken yesterday, but can Romney win the White House in 2012? The CafePress Election Meter doesn’t think it’s likely.

Assorted News Notes and Links

Here are a few interesting items from assorted resources:

No Labels has posted a list of ways to make sure Congress is effective.  I think they would go a long way toward getting things done.  Examples:  no budget, no congressional pay; don't let Congress segregate by party -- mix up the seating charts.  (via Just Between Strangers)

Tips that are guaranteed to prevent sexual assault.  I was skeptical but after reading them I'm convinced that if people followed these guidelines it would absolutely reduce sexual assaults. (via Just Between Strangers).

from the inbox:

Lauren Innovations announced today that it has been added to the U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) federal supplier list as an authorized vendor of their unique web-based technology software NaviGate which provides critical information solutions at anytime from anywhere for government agencies.

On Wednesday, January 28th, the National Constitution Center will announce a yearlong series of onsite and online programs to celebrate the Constitution's 225th anniversary.  Delaware Gov. Markell and other dignitaries will be on hand for the celebration kickoff.

3rd Quarter 2011 FEC Report Round Up

I’m still playing catch up with the quarterly FEC Reports.  This post covers the 3rd quarter 2011, July – September.

You can browse these reports yourself at www.fec.gov.  As always I apologize in advance for any errors or misinterpretations.  I am neither a lawyer nor an accountant, just an interested observer and these thoughts should be taken as such. 

Watch the itemized (over $250 donations), unitemized (smaller donations), and PAC ratios.  Generally, you will find unitemized to be about 10% the amount of itemized and PAC’s either a half or quarter the amount of the itemized donations, at least for incumbents.  In open races or in challenger’s reports, there are usually fewer PAC donations.  They like to stick with people they are fairly certain are going to win. 

Just about everyone posted reports in alphabetical order, which makes them easier to deal with.  My thanks to those preparing the reports for that.

6^th Congressional District 

Manan Trivedi, Democrat  

Receipts

Itemized 70,057.00

Unitemized 20,382.03

Total of Contributions from Individuals  90,439.03 / 91,548.90

PACs:  1,000.00 / 1,000.00

The Candidate:  10,000.00 / 10,000.00

Total Contributions:  101,439.03 / 102,548.90

Offsets to Operating Expenditures (Refunds, etc.):  0.00 / 1,635.05

Total Receipts:  101,439.03 / 104,183.95

Disbursements

Operating Expenditures:  13,224.03 / 73,542.51

Other Disbursements: 0.00 / 750.00

Total Disbursements: 13,224.03 / 74,292.51

Cash Summary.

Cash On Hand At Beginning Of Reporting Period 21,804.15 (22,167.20*)
Total Receipts  101,439.03
Total Disbursements   13,224.03

Cash On Hand At Close Of The Reporting Period  110,382.20

Five people donated $2500 in this reporting period; another two donated $5000, the maximum for this election cycle. In individual donations, there is a large cluster of physicians as might be expected given that Trivedi is a doctor.  There are also small clusters of higher education, and attorneys.  The report is scrambled so it is hard to tell what percentage of donations are from out of state.  Trivedi has donated $10K to the campaign (or it might be $7500, it’s hard to tell).  The  only PAC donations is from Allyson Schwartz’s leadership pac for $1000.  In disbursements, there are payments for general consulting and fundraising.

Jim Gerlach, incumbent Republican

Receipts

Itemized  88,624.23

Unitemized 8,474.50

Total of Contributions from Individuals 97,098.73 / 324,796.73 

PACs  117,404.00 / 454,205.84

Total Contributions: 214,502.73 / 779,002.57

Offsets to Operating Expenditures (Refunds, etc.):  0.00 / 8,482.55

Other Receipts:  821.82 / 1,990.39

Total Receipts:  215,324.55 / 789,475.51

Disbursements

Operating Expenditures: 215,324.55 / 789,475.512

Refunds:  350.00 / 350.00

Other Disbursements: 16,545.00 / 59,705.00

Total Disbursements: 166,033.74 / 504,906.32

Cash Summary.

Cash On Hand At Beginning Of Reporting Period 471,724.16
Total Receipts  214,502.73
Total Disbursements  166,033.74

Cash On Hand At Close Of The Reporting Period  521,014.97

Only around 8 of Gerlach’s itemized donors are from out of state.  There were nine new donors who have donated a total of $2500, three who have donated above that, and two who have donated at total of $5000, and therefore cannot donate again in this election cycle.  A few things that caught my eye – the Chicksaw Nation is listed with individual donors; I’m not sure that’s correct.  Four people in one family each donated $2500; three of them are listed as students.  That’s a lot for a student to donate.  Looking at occupations there are clusters in education, health, finance (including credit unions).  There are five brewery owners, and a farmer.  In PACS, he received a total of $5K from the Automobile Dealers Association, American College of Cardiology, Aetna’s PAC, the National Beer Wholesalers, Bank of America, a pac for physical therapists, a pac for airline pilots, and the American Hospital PAC.  There are lesser donations from Merck and the Mainstream PAC.  Bayer has donated a total of $6K, Price Waterhouse Cooper has donated $5500.  There are clusters in energy and health care.  Things that jumped out at me – Poker Players Alliance, and the Humane Society’s Legislative Fund.  In disbursements, he paid $14,500 to the NRCC.  Gerlach has opened or moved his campaign office.  There are payments for a security deposit, rent, office “fit out,” and furniture.  One golf outing cost $10K and another $1700.  He bought general insurance.  He paid one fundraiser about $27K, a campaign finance consultant about $21K.  Someone was paid for FEC compliance, and the campaign hired a media consultant.  

7^th Congressional District

Pat Meehan, Republican

Receipts

Itemized  95,100.00

Unitemized 1,947.00

Total of Contributions from Individuals 97,047.00 / 491,819.77

Other Political Committees 0.00 / 1,600.00

PACs  105,500.00 / 488,000.00

Total Contributions 202,547.00 / 981,419.77

Transfers from Other Authorized Committees: 0.00 / 25,069.40

Offsets to Operating Expenditures (Rebates, etc):  2,358.84 / 2,358.84

Other Receipts:  0.00 / 471.29

Total Receipts: 204,905.84 / 1,009,319.30

Disbursements

Operating Expenditures: 98,239.07 / 591,329.32

Contribution Refunds:  0.00 / 11,000.00

Total Disbursements: 98,239.07 / 602,329.32

Cash Summary.

Cash On Hand At Beginning Of Reporting Period 627,601.00
Total Receipts  204,905.84
Total Disbursements 98,239.07

Cash On Hand At Close Of The Reporting Period  734,267.77

Note the relatively small amount of unitemized donations, those under $250, compared to the itemized donations.  Note also that that PAC donations are larger than contributions from individuals.  About 20 of the 120 individual contributors are from out of state.  There are three donors who have reached the maximum $5K donation for this election cycle, four who are above $2500, and nine who have donated $2500.  In donor’s occupations there are the usual lawyers, also health administration.  The Chicksaw Nation donated.  One portrait artist donated.  Among the numerous PAC donations are several company PACs and industry PACs.  Many of these are in the transportation, health care, and insurance areas.  One that jumped out at me was the US-Cuba Democracy.  In disbursements, rent payments are present.  The campaign paid a fundraising company $26K, $6500 for accounting, and nover $8K for legal fees.  The campaign paid $1314 to a golf club for a fundraiser.

8^th Congressional District

Mike Fitzpatrick, Republican

Receipts

Itemized  64,380.00

Unitemized 8,395.00

Total of Contributions from Individuals  72,775.00 / 415,246.61

Political Party Committees:  0.00 / 1,000.00

PACs   64,185.00 / 438,616.30

Total Contributions:  136,960.00 / 854,862.91

Transfers from Authorized Committees: 0.00 / 16,404.51

Offsets to Operating Expenditures (Refunds, etc.): 0.00 / 256.30

Other Receipts: 252.87 / 312.98

Total Receipts: 137,212.87 / 871,836.70

Disbursements

Operating Expenditures:  66,414.57 / 451,988.44

Contribution Refunds:  250.00 / 3,210.00

Other Disbursements: 0.00 / 100.00

Total Disbursements: 66,664.57 / 455,298.44

Cash Summary.

Cash On Hand At Beginning Of Reporting Period  438,893.87
Total Receipts  137,212.87
Total Disbursements : 66,664.57

Cash On Hand At Close Of The Reporting Period  509,442.17

There were five new donors contributing a total of $2500, and another four contributing $5,000, the total allowed this election cycle.  Like other congressional reps he received a donation from the Chicksaw Nation.  Ten out of 70 donors were from out of state.   In PAC donations there are a number of politically oriented PACs donating.  For example, there are small donations from five local Philadelphia campaign committees, such as Taubenberger for Philly, and Friends of Chris Vogler.  The Kitchen Table Patriots also made a small donation.  Statewide GOP PACS, such as Keystone Alliance PAC, are also represented, as are national GOP organizations, including the Republican Main Street PAC and the Tuesday Group PAC.  There are also a handful of donations from leadership PACs such as Guthrie for Congress (Guthrie is from Kentucky).  The Brady for Congress committee that donated is for a Texas congressman named Brady, not the Pennsylvania Democrat named Brady.  The US Cuba Democracy also donated.  There were clusters of donations from organizations in energy, insurance, finance, and health / pharmaceutical groups.  In disbursements Rep. Fitzpatrick is paying rent, presumably for a campaign office.  He also pad Patton Boggs $20K for legal consulting.  I wonder what that’s about.  Campaign Finance Services received $15K, Catalyst Group around $22K.  The campaign also spent over $2600 to cater a fundraiser at the New York Yacht Club.  Mr. Fitzpatrick’s campaign continues to carry a lot of debt, $16K to the Strategy Group for Media for advertising.

13th Congressional District

Allyson Schwartz, Incumbent District (first elected 2004)

Receipts

Itemized  147,694.00

Unitemized 12,767.00

Total of Contributions from Individuals 160,461.00 / 715,343.62   

Political Party Committees 24.99 / 221.96

PACs   142,550.00 / 399,511.35

Total Contributions: 303,035.99 / 1,115,076.93

Offsets to Operating Expenditures (Refunds, etc.):  0.00 / 194.26

Other Receipts: 2226.45 / 8062.97

Total Receipts:  305,262.44 / 1,123,334.16

Disbursements

Operating Expenditures:  73,922.41 / 368,927.09 

Contribution Refunds: 0.00/ 3,100.00

Other Disbursements: 5,750.00 / 313,870.00

Total Disbursements: 79,672.41 / 685,897.09

Cash Summary.

Cash On Hand At Beginning Of Reporting Period 1,750,264.98
Total Receipts 305,262.44  
Total Disbursements 79,672.41

Cash On Hand At Close Of The Reporting Period   1,975,855.01

Four donors contributed $2500, eight between $2500 and $5000, and seven have donated the $5000 allowed for this election cycle.  Of the 216 donors, around 80 are from out of state.  No celebs on the list but there is an NBC executive.  There is also a bakery owner, a paralegal, and the president of the Pakistani-American Christian Association.  There are occupational clusters in health care administration, education, the arts, and pharmaceuticals.  In PACs two donated $10K, Comcast and the association of orthopaedic surgeons PAC.  Schwartz is cornering the market on middle class shopping PAC money, with donations from the PACs for Wal-Mart, Target, and CVS.  Among the unusually named groups we find the Society for Relief of Distressed and Decayed Pilots (relates to sea freight and transport), and the Women in Psychology for Legislative Action.  There are a lot of donations from PACs relating to health care workers, for example, family physicians, physician assistants, nurse midwives, nurse anesthetists, etc.  One of the perks of sitting on a big bank account is interest.  It looks like the campaign earns $8K a month in interest.  Not bad, not bad at all.  In disbursements, Schwartz gave $5K to the Montgomery County Democrats.  She pays health insurance for her works, car insurance for the campaign car, and rent for an office.  The campaign paid $10K to Erickson & Co for fundraising.  There are several payments for catering and food, including pretzels for small events.  There are a few payments (total:  $1300) to the Picnic Pros, possibly for events attended by all those Wal-Mart, Target, and CVS people.  Posher events are listed as well.  Local celeb chef Stephen Starr catered an event; Starr also donated to the campaign.  There are a few other $1000 or thereabouts payments for catering.

Assorted Notes on VoterID

VoterID laws are being introduced and sometimes passed in a number of states.  The Wall Street Journal had an article on this topic over the weekend ("More states impose photo ID at voting booth," by Jennifer Smith), with an accompanying chart showing general categories of id requirements by state.  Here is an excerpt:

To some extent, the new laws track the priorities of Republican lawmakers who held more state legislative seats than they have since 1928, legal experts say.

Another WSJ article earlier in the week (12/28, "Democrats lag in voter registration," by Laura Meckler) points out that the GOP seldom conducts voter registration drives.  While nationally and in many states, including Pennsylvania, Democrats have a registration advantage, turnout is critical. 

Philadelphia's newly elected City Commissioner Stephanie Singer thinks the proposed Pennsylvania Voter ID bill (HB 934) is "hogwash."  In an editorial in the Inquirer on 12/29 the paper said "as many as 700,000 could be striped of their voting rights."  Singer and PA Secretary of the Commonwealth Carole Aichele had a short discussion about the bill during the call-in section of a Radio Times interview with Aichele.  A recording is available on You Tube. 

An article by AP reporter Marc Levy, "Pa voter bill advances," posted on the FoxPhilly site, includes this quote:

Senate State Government Committee Chairman Charles McIlhinney said he has seen no proof that people are casting illegal ballots, but he also said he's seen no proof that tightening the requirements would deny anyone the right to vote. He called the requirement a "security check."

At present new voters or people voting in a polling place for the first time are asked to show an id but it doesn't have to be a photo id.  The bill in PA would require a photo id issued by a specified list of places (government id, college or university, nursing home, etc.)

  Several groups have been identified as less likely to have the kind of identification outlined in many of the new state voterid bills:  the young (college students), African Americans, the old and the poor.  The New York Times has a nice essay on the voterid issues for college students.  Think Progress outlines some of the cases that have come up for the elderly.  Philadelphia Weekly's PhillyNow blog spells out how this impacts Pennsylvania in particular.   The Delaware County Daily Times has published an editorial against the bill as has the Phillyburbs site. 

Notes from January 2012 Philly Mag

The January 2012 issue of Philadelphia Magazine arrived today.  Going by the letters section I'm not the only reader who objected to last month's nudie shot on the cover, though no one else mentioned the awkwardness of trying to read it on the train. 

I'm glancing through the party pix in the magazine and on p. 22 my brain does one of those "drag the needle across the record" noises.  State Rep. Tony Payton, Jr. and Kate Wilhelm?  Say what?  Kate Wilhelm is one of my favorite writers!  Not the same one though.  Just like there are two Hollister Knowltons, there are two Kate Wilhelms.  The writer Kate Wilhelm lives in Oregon and her first story was published in 1963.    The Philadelphia Kate Wilhelm looks to be in her 20's and works at the Philadelphia Horticultural Society.  The writer was born Katie; PHS Kate is actually a Katrina.  Now you know.

The issue has a good profile of Committee of Seventy CEO Zach Stalberg, "Zack Attacks Hacks!" by Patrick Kerkstra.  It's not online yet; either pick up a print copy or watch the www.phillymag.com site for an line version to be posted.

An interested segment in the "A Philadelphian's Guide to Learning ... Anything," is a one-minute lesson on "tweeting without sounding like an ass****" by Dan McQuade, a one-time Philadelphia blogger.  He has some good advice.